DATA ANALYSIS BASED COMMENTARY
This page contains an analysis for ten Indian states affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. The source of the data is
8 May, 2020 :
(a) Delhi, Gujarat and Maharashtra are worrying with μ values close to 0.07 and new daily cases in the range of 400-1000 per day.
(b) Tamil Nadu is also very worrying with μ showing an upward climb to a value close to 0.17 and new cases nearing 700 per day.
(c) West Bengal shows strong fluctuations in μ value.
(b) Kerala seems to have successfully controlled the pandemic with just few new reported cases reported per day.
28 April, 2020 :
(a) The states Delhi, Gujarat, Maharashtra and West Bengal have a μ that is significantly larger than the national average (around 0.05 now).
(b) Kerala had a sudden reversal of the downward trend and presently is oscillating around μ=0.02.
21 April, 2020 :
(a) Kerala continues to show a well controlled μ less than 0.01
(b) Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh shows a steady decline of μ which is currently around 0.05. These states are making progress.
(c) Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, West Bengal and Delhi are at around μ of 0.1. Andhra Pradesh has also jumped above 0.1 in the last few days after a better week.
(d) Gujarat: The μ value is higher than any other state, with \mu nearly 0.2 for the last few days. This is a worrying situation.
14 April, 2020 :
a) Kerala is doing very well with a settled and decreasing value of μ around 0.02 that is comparable to Italy, Iran and Germany.
b) Karnataka has a μ somewhat less that 0.1, but the recent upward fluctuations need watching.
c) Delhi, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal and UP show a stable μ of around 0.1.
d) Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Maharashtra have a μ around 0.15 with some fluctuations. Not stabilized so far.
e) Gujarat has the highest μ currently among the tracked states. Very worrying.
TOTAL CONFIRMED CASES, NEW CASES PER DAY AND EXPONENTIAL GROWTH RATE
STATE SPECIFIC DATA FOR CONFIRMED NUMBERS
Jammu and Kashmir